3:45 Punchestown: Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle

Qaasid Harry Sexton(7) · John Joseph Hanlon

Qaasid is the one to beat: he has run over today's trip and going, won four starts back, and comes here fresh from a run just 15 days ago, though a fifth last time out and a pulled up before that leave a question. Our 107 sits well clear of his official 100, and he tops the 22-runner field.

Kalsman Mr E P Powell(7) · Liam Lennon

Kalsman is winless in his last six, with an eighth last time out following a fourth two starts back, though he was second five starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Quick back out after ten days and carrying 165 lb off 97, he's rated a little higher by us, but he needs to bounce back.

Gaelic Des Chastys Patrick M O'Brien(5) · E McNamara

Gaelic Des Chastys has been second in three of his last five and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 104 ranks him third of 22 and he's fresh enough after 22 days off. The main risk is carrying 162 lb, and he's yet to win in that spell.

Surrey Force James Smith(3) · Thomas Gibney

Surrey Force has been unplaced in his last three outings, with an eighth four starts back, and returns after 293 days off, so fitness is a real question. He's yet to win in recent starts and carries 162 lb off an official 94, though our 90 rating ranks him 16th of 22.

You Done Well Sam Ewing · Michael J Browne

You Done Well has twice been pulled up in his last three outings, including last time out, though a sixth two starts back and thirds earlier show he can be competitive. He has run over today's trip and going, but a weight of 160 lb and winless form leave him a midfield proposition.

Diamond Secret Niall Moore(5) · Philip Fenton

Winless in his last five, Diamond Secret was unplaced last time and refused two starts back, with a fifth three starts back his best recent finish, while an 88-day break raises fitness questions. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating ranks him seventh of 22, but 159 lb is a hefty burden.

Cometothinkofit Peter Smithers(5) · Padraig Roche

Cometothinkofit is winless in his last five, with an eighth and a sixth the best of them, and he was unplaced last time out 27 days ago. He has run on today's going and our rating of 82 ranks him 23rd on our list, so carrying 158 lb looks a tall order.

Le Fanu Darragh O'Keeffe · Brendan Maurice Walsh

Le Fanu won two starts back but was unplaced last time and returns after 130 days off, while he has run over today's trip and going and carries 158 lb. Our rating of 90 ranks him 15th of 22, so he looks a midfield sort.

The Ducks Walk J. J. Slevin · N Dooly

The Ducks Walk was sixth last time out, only ten days ago, and has finished outside the first four in four of his last six, which makes him hard to fancy. A win two starts back and prior experience over today's trip and going are in his favour.

Whispering Hopes Kieren Buckley · Liam Lennon

Whispering Hopes arrives with a fourth last time out, a solid effort after a third three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before. Our rating of 102 ranks her fourth of 22, but 156 lb is a hefty burden and she's yet to win in her last five.

Spanish John Danny Mullins · P A Fahy

Spanish John arrives fresh from a third last time out, 17 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before, yet he is winless in his last five and was eighth two starts back. Carrying 155 lb off 87, he looks a midfield type, though our rating of 93 offers some hope.

Tudorista Cian Quirke · Edward F Power

Tudorista arrives in decent form with a third last time out, a third two starts back and a second three starts back, yet she remains winless in her last six and is turned out again just six days later. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 91 sits above her 87, though carrying 155 lb tempers things.

Mellem Thomas O'Connor(7) · Mark Fahey

Mellem is yet to win in his last five, with a seventh last time out and an unplaced run before that, though a second five starts back shows he has ability. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 91 sits above his official 86, but 154 lb is a big ask.

Gethegoodtimesroll Sean O'Keeffe · Peter Maher

Gethegoodtimesroll is yet to win in his last five starts, with a third five starts back his best finish, and he was only eighth last time out after a fourth two runs earlier. A 120-day break raises fitness questions, though our rating of 93 sits above his official 85 despite 153 lb.

Ardgillan Alex Harvey · M M Lynch

Ardgillan has just one win in his last five starts, a victory two starts back, but he was unplaced last time out and in three of the other four, and he returns after 42 days off. Carrying 152 lb off an official mark of 84 is a stiff ask, though he has run over today's trip and going before.

Trixaboutmaisie Kevin Healy(7) · Colin Bowe

Trixaboutmaisie was second last time out, but she is yet to win in her last five starts and was unplaced or seventh in the four runs before that. She has run over today's trip and going, yet 151 lb and a 20th-of-22 ranking on our figures make her hard to fancy.

Head For Home Phillip Enright · Oliver McKiernan

Head For Home is winless in his last five, though a fourth last time out and a third two starts back show he's not out of form, and he's fresh from a run ten days ago. Carrying 148 lb, with our figures ranking him 21st of 22, he's hard to fancy.

Thehardandthewild Ben Kennedy(7) · Denis Hickey

Pulled up in each of his last two starts and unplaced before that, Thehardandthewild returns after 298 days off, though he has run on today's going and our rating of 90 sits above his official mark of 78 despite carrying 146 lb.

How Decc Shane O'Callaghan(3) · James Andrew Fahey

How Decc was fourth last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but he's winless in his last four, with a pulled up two starts back and a third four starts back. Our rating of 93 ranks him 11th of 22, and 145 lb off an official 77 is a hefty burden.

Westin Pimpernel Josh Williamson(3) · Gordon Elliott

Westin Pimpernel is winless in her last five, with two pulled-up efforts and a fifth last time out, so she is hard to fancy, especially carrying 144 lb off 77. She has run over today's trip and going, and 27 days since her last run is no issue, but that is thin comfort.

Imbolc Daniel King · E Sheehy

Imbolc is hard to fancy, pulled up last time out and again five starts back, with a fall in between and no finish better than unplaced in his last five. He has run over today's trip and returns after 14 days, but our figures rank him last of 22.

Toor Moon Ethan O'Sullivan(7) · Ms M Flynn

Toor Moon is hard to fancy, pulled up last time out and unseated three starts back, with nothing better than unplaced in his other recent runs, and he is yet to win in that spell. He has run over today's trip and going and is back after 14 days, but 140 lb is a big ask.

Convincing Ciaran Murphy

Fourth last time out, and a winner two starts back, he shows some bright form, and he has run on today's going before. Against that, he's off 60 days, carries 162 lb and was only seventh three starts back, while our rating of 94 ranks him eighth of 22.

Mydreamtell James Andrew Fahey

Mydreamtell has finished fifth, eighth and sixth in his last three starts, so he is yet to win in that spell, and he returns after 67 days off. He has run on today's going and carries 161 lb off 94, but our rating of 92 puts him only twelfth of 22.

Seeitoldya John Joseph Hanlon

Seeitoldya has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 104 ranks him second of 22, comfortably above his official 96 while carrying 164 lb. The risk is a poor run of form, unplaced last time and winless in his last five, after 51 days off.