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Simpson's Paradox: horse profile, stats, records and next races

Simpson's Paradox is a 6-year-old gelding by Mastercraftsman, trained by John Andrew Kinsella. He has won 1 of 25 starts and placed in 4 more, for £367 in prize money. His best trip is 1m, where 1 win from 9 is a 11% strike rate against 0% at every other distance. He runs next in the 3:40 at Gowran Park on 19 October. His best performance rating is 89, which is the figure to judge him against in this grade.

  • Runs 25
  • Wins 1
  • Placed 5
  • Strike rate 4%
  • Prize money £367
  • Best rating 89
  • Official rating 46

Where Simpson's Paradox runs next

Time Course Race Best price
3:40 Gowran Park Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I) —

Simpson's Paradox form and race record

Date Course Race Dist Going Pos Beaten SP Jockey OR
20 Jun 26 Down Royal Mongey Communications Handicap (0-60) 1m 2.5f Soft 3 14.25 14/1 Keithen Kennedy 46
12 Jun 26 Gowran Park Societies Welcome At Gowran Park Golf Club Handicap (0-60) 1m Yielding 8 6.25 22/1 Keithen Kennedy 48
15 Mar 26 Curragh 1xBet.ie Supporting Irish Racing Handicap 1m Heavy 20 41 11/1 Chris Hayes 52
13 Feb 26 Dundalk (AW) Dundalk Winter Series Leading Trainer & Jockey Championship Handicap (0-60) 7f Standard 7 5 16/1 James Ryan 54
13 Dec 25 Fairyhouse Easter Festival Tickets On Sale Now Novice Handicap Hurdle 2m Soft PU - 66/1 Sam Ewing 90
13 Nov 25 Punchestown Matchbook Supporting Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle 2m Heavy 15 92.25 80/1 J J Slevin –
20 Oct 25 Gowran Park Racing Club Membership Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) 1m 0.5f Heavy 6 2.75 5/1 Scott McCullagh 54
7 Dec 24 Navan Mervyn Gray Construction Maiden Hurdle (Div 1) 2m Good To Yielding 12 30.75 125/1 Conor Tierney –
3 Nov 24 Cork Paddy Power From The Horse's Mouth Podcast Maiden Hurdle 2m 0.5f Good 8 28 12/1 Jack Kearney –
9 Oct 24 Navan Yellow Furze Handicap (47-65) (Div 1) 1m 2f Good To Yielding 8 11.75 22/1 Conor Maxwell 60
23 Aug 24 Killarney Brehon Hotel And Spa Apprentice Handicap 1m 6.5f Yielding To Soft 5 10.75 18/1 Adam Caffrey 62
22 Jul 24 Ballinrobe Tote Guarantee Available On-Course & At Tote.ie Handicap 1m 1.5f Soft 5 9.25 16/1 Conor Maxwell 67
5 Jul 24 Bellewstown McNally's Pharmacy 365 Handicap (47-70) 1m Good 6 10.75 33/1 Conor Maxwell 70
27 May 24 Leicester Leicester City FC Handicap Class 4 1m Good To Soft 5 7.75 66/1 Gina Mangan 72
1 May 24 Pontefract National Horseracing College Handicap Class 5 1m 2f Soft 7 18.75 16/1 Rowan Scott 74
15 Apr 24 Windsor Ivy Crown Gardening Handicap Class 5 1m 2f Good 11 21.75 12/1 Kieran Shoemark 75
30 Sep 23 Killarney Download The New Tote App Median Auction Maiden 1m Heavy 1 — 10/3 Scott McCullagh 74
21 Sep 23 Listowel Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Maiden 1m Soft To Heavy 5 3.75 6/1 Shane Foley 76
29 Aug 23 Bellewstown Tynan's Bridge House Bar Irish EBF Median Auction Maiden 1m Good To Yielding 7 10 7/4F Shane Foley 80
5 Aug 23 Galway Bathshack Maiden 1m 0.5f Heavy 2 1.5 13/8F Shane Foley 82
19 Jul 23 Killarney Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden 1m Yielding 2 .75 4/1 Shane Foley 82
19 Apr 23 Gowran Park Gowran Park Golf Club Maiden 7f Yielding 4 5.5 EvensF Shane Foley 86
1 Oct 22 Killarney Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden 1m Soft 5 6.5 9/2 Shane Foley –
6 Sep 22 Galway Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden 1m 0.5f Soft 3 2 9/2 Shane Foley –
13 May 22 Leopardstown Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden 7f Good 6 13.25 4/1 Shane Foley –

Last time out

Finished 3 in the Mongey Communications Handicap (0-60) at Down Royal on 20 June 2026. Hesitant start - settled at back of field - urged forward 3f out - still down in 10th 2f out - improved to 8th with a furlong left - stayed on late to grab 3rd.

Simpson's Paradox by distance

Split Runs Wins Strike rate Level stakes
8f 9 1 11% —
7f 3 0 0% —
16f 3 0 0% —
8.5f 3 0 0% —
10f 3 0 0% —
10.5f 1 0 0% —
16.5f 1 0 0% —
14.5f 1 0 0% —
9.5f 1 0 0% —

Simpson's Paradox by going

Split Runs Wins Strike rate Level stakes
Soft 6 0 0% —
Heavy 5 1 20% —
Good 4 0 0% —
Yielding 3 0 0% —
Good To Yielding 3 0 0% —
Standard 1 0 0% —
Yielding To Soft 1 0 0% —
Good To Soft 1 0 0% —
Soft To Heavy 1 0 0% —

Simpson's Paradox by course

Split Runs Wins Strike rate Level stakes
Killarney 4 1 25% —
Gowran Park 3 0 0% —
Navan 2 0 0% —
Bellewstown 2 0 0% —
Galway 2 0 0% —
Down Royal 1 0 0% —
Curragh 1 0 0% —
Dundalk (AW) 1 0 0% —
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% —
Punchestown 1 0 0% —

Simpson's Paradox breeding

  • Sire Mastercraftsman (IRE)
  • Dam Alpha Lupi (IRE)
  • Damsire Rahy (USA)
  • Breeder Niarchos Family
  • Foaled 15 May 2020

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